Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.003344 0.003509 0.003677 0.003863 0.004061 0.004267 0.004497
2025-05-04 0.003029 0.003271 0.003529 0.003824 0.004153 0.004512 0.004932
2025-05-11 0.002833 0.003119 0.003431 0.003799 0.004223 0.004699 0.005277
2025-05-18 0.002681 0.002996 0.003348 0.003772 0.004272 0.004849 0.005570
2025-05-25 0.002607 0.002953 0.003347 0.003831 0.004417 0.005108 0.005997
2025-06-01 0.002505 0.002870 0.003292 0.003819 0.004469 0.005253 0.006286
2025-06-08 0.002406 0.002784 0.003226 0.003788 0.004492 0.005359 0.006525
2025-06-15 0.002303 0.002687 0.003142 0.003727 0.004473 0.005405 0.006685
2025-06-22 0.002214 0.002603 0.003069 0.003677 0.004461 0.005457 0.006852
2025-06-29 0.002158 0.002557 0.003041 0.003679 0.004514 0.005594 0.007135
2025-07-06 0.002055 0.002449 0.002930 0.003571 0.004419 0.005528 0.007134
2025-07-13 0.002009 0.002411 0.002906 0.003573 0.004468 0.005656 0.007407
2025-07-20 0.001987 0.002402 0.002919 0.003625 0.004585 0.005882 0.007834
2025-07-27 0.001928 0.002344 0.002868 0.003588 0.004581 0.005940 0.008020
2025-08-03 0.001878 0.002297 0.002828 0.003566 0.004594 0.006021 0.008241
2025-08-10 0.001830 0.002251 0.002787 0.003541 0.004601 0.006092 0.008449
2025-08-17 0.001817 0.002249 0.002806 0.003596 0.004723 0.006333 0.008931
2025-08-24 0.001779 0.002213 0.002777 0.003584 0.004748 0.006433 0.009195
2025-08-31 0.001737 0.002171 0.002738 0.003556 0.004747 0.006492 0.009396
2025-09-07 0.001686 0.002116 0.002680 0.003500 0.004704 0.006483 0.009485
2025-09-14 0.001642 0.002068 0.002631 0.003453 0.004672 0.006491 0.009600
2025-09-21 0.001616 0.002045 0.002615 0.003455 0.004712 0.006611 0.009908
2025-09-28 0.001557 0.001974 0.002531 0.003356 0.004595 0.006481 0.009783